DC
DELUXE CORP (DLX)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered modest top-line growth with stronger profit conversion: revenue $536.5M (+0.3% YoY), comparable adjusted EBITDA $100.2M (+3.4% YoY), and comparable adjusted EPS $0.75 (+4.2% YoY). Management maintained FY25 guidance and highlighted operating leverage and cash generation under “North Star.”
- Results were a clear beat vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $536.5M vs $525.4M and EPS $0.75 vs $0.71; sequentially, revenue rose from $520.5M in Q4 while comparable adjusted EPS declined to $0.75 from $0.84. Bolded catalysts: maintained FY25 guide, strong Data segment growth (+29% YoY), and improved free cash flow. *
- Management flagged near-term caution: Q2 revenue expected “slightly negative” YoY, more softness in promo within Print, and Merchant FY growth now closer to low single-digits vs prior mid-single-digit framing. Full-year guidance ranges unchanged.
- Capital allocation: continued deleveraging (net debt $1.462B), free cash flow $24.3M, dividend $0.30/share payable Jun 2, 2025.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Data Solutions posted a record quarter: revenue $77.2M (+29.3% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA $19.7M and margin 25.5% (+50 bps YoY), driven by demand from financial institutions and a 17-logo add; management cited advanced AI tools and a large consumer/SMB data lake as differentiators. “We put together that great database with very advanced AI tools that get smarter and better with every campaign.”
- Operating leverage and cash generation improved: comparable adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 40 bps YoY to 18.7%; cash from operations was $50.3M and free cash flow increased to $24.3M.
- Balance sheet and ratings momentum: net debt reduced YoY; S&P upgraded corporate rating to single B with positive outlook, reflecting deleveraging trajectory and reduced restructuring.
What Went Wrong
- Promo softness weighed on Print: Print revenue fell to $291.3M (-4% YoY); management expects accelerated decline in Q2 due to constrained demand in shorter-cycle discretionary branded products.
- Merchant growth tempered: Q1 revenue +1.3% to $97.8M, but FY growth outlook shifted “closer to lower single-digit” vs prior mid-single-digit, reflecting macro consumer sentiment and channel/vertical mix.
- Near-term revenue caution: Company guided Q2 revenue “slightly negative” YoY; corporate medical benefit cost headwinds impacted margins but are expected to be mostly nonrecurring.
Financial Results
Consolidated Actuals
YoY highlights for Q1 2025 (vs Q1 2024): revenue +0.3%; comparable adjusted revenue +1.4%; GAAP EPS +29.2%; comparable adjusted EPS +4.2%; margin +40 bps.
Segment Breakdown (Q1 2025)
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We reported a strong start to 2025… expanding comparable adjusted EBITDA margin and generating robust operating cash flow.”
- CEO: “Our payments and data segments expanded… and execution remained strong… Data segment revenue grew 29%… added 17 new customer logos.”
- CFO: “Adjusted EBITDA was $100.2M, increasing 3.4%… margins 18.7%, improving 40 bps… medical benefit cost headwinds are mostly nonrecurring.”
- CFO: “Net debt level of $1.46B… S&P ratings upgrade… expect to end 2025 at ~3.3x leverage, targeting ≤3x by end of 2026.”
Q&A Highlights
- Merchant fundamentals and strategy: diversified verticals (government, not-for-profit, auto repair), emphasis on service; new Merchant Services President focusing on FI partnerships (TowneBank) and distribution/channel expansion.
- Near-term modeling: Q2 revenue “slightly negative” YoY; promo softness key driver; data growth to continue; merchant and B2B low single-digit sequential improvement.
- Data “secret sauce”: scaled data lake (>100 sources), advanced AI-driven modeling, rapid campaign pivoting to demand (deposits, P&C insurance), strong FI demand.
- Checks policy question: No direct exposure to federal check phase-out; checks remain ~40% of B2B payments due to remittance complexity; limited viable substitutes.
- Capex and FCF: FY25 Capex $90–$100M with non-linear cadence; strong FCF a focus as restructuring winds down; deleveraging path reiterated.
Estimates Context
Q1 2025 results beat consensus on both revenue and EPS; Q3 2024 beat; Q4 2024 revenue missed while EPS was in-line/slight beat.
Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.
- Q1 2025: Revenue and EPS both beat; bold implication: positive estimate revisions likely in Data segment; Merchant estimates may edge down given FY growth tempering. *
- Q4 2024: Revenue miss vs consensus; EPS met/slightly exceeded on adjusted basis. *
Earnings Call Themes & Trends (Selected Press Releases, Q1 Window)
- FI partnerships: TowneBank partnership enhances merchant solutions distribution through bank channel.
- B2B product upgrade: ReceivablesR360+ achieved ISO 20022 compatibility via IBM partnership, improving data integration and onboarding speed.
- Vertical expansion: Bonko partnership (insurance agents) and SchoolAuction.net integration (nonprofits/education) broaden merchant addressable market.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Free cash flow inflection and deleveraging are intact; FY25 FCF $120–$140M guide maintained, net leverage targeted ~3.3x by YE25 and ≤3x by YE26—supportive of multiple expansion and balance sheet resiliency.
- Data Solutions momentum is the growth engine; record revenue, AI-enabled targeting, and FI demand should underpin upward estimate pressure and offset Print headwinds.
- Merchant growth recalibration to low single-digit reduces top-line risk; watch FI onboarding cadence and partner-driven channel mix for margin stability.
- Near-term caution for Q2 (“slightly negative” YoY) driven by promo softness; sequential improvement expected in H2—trade the setup around confirmation of H2 ramp.
- Maintain focus on non-GAAP adjustments: adjusted EPS excludes amortization, restructuring, and exits; comparable adjusted metrics remove business exits—key for apples-to-apples trend analysis.
- Dividend continuity ($0.30/share) and ratings upgrade (single B, positive outlook) reinforce capital allocation discipline; positive credit signaling is a tailwind to cost of capital.
- Medium-term thesis: ongoing mix shift to Payments/Data, margin expansion under North Star, and product upgrades (ISO 20022, merchant platform) support the 2–4% long-term revenue algorithm with profit growing faster than revenue.
Note: All consensus values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.