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DELUXE CORP (DLX)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered modest top-line growth with stronger profit conversion: revenue $536.5M (+0.3% YoY), comparable adjusted EBITDA $100.2M (+3.4% YoY), and comparable adjusted EPS $0.75 (+4.2% YoY). Management maintained FY25 guidance and highlighted operating leverage and cash generation under “North Star.”
  • Results were a clear beat vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $536.5M vs $525.4M and EPS $0.75 vs $0.71; sequentially, revenue rose from $520.5M in Q4 while comparable adjusted EPS declined to $0.75 from $0.84. Bolded catalysts: maintained FY25 guide, strong Data segment growth (+29% YoY), and improved free cash flow. *
  • Management flagged near-term caution: Q2 revenue expected “slightly negative” YoY, more softness in promo within Print, and Merchant FY growth now closer to low single-digits vs prior mid-single-digit framing. Full-year guidance ranges unchanged.
  • Capital allocation: continued deleveraging (net debt $1.462B), free cash flow $24.3M, dividend $0.30/share payable Jun 2, 2025.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Data Solutions posted a record quarter: revenue $77.2M (+29.3% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA $19.7M and margin 25.5% (+50 bps YoY), driven by demand from financial institutions and a 17-logo add; management cited advanced AI tools and a large consumer/SMB data lake as differentiators. “We put together that great database with very advanced AI tools that get smarter and better with every campaign.”
  • Operating leverage and cash generation improved: comparable adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 40 bps YoY to 18.7%; cash from operations was $50.3M and free cash flow increased to $24.3M.
  • Balance sheet and ratings momentum: net debt reduced YoY; S&P upgraded corporate rating to single B with positive outlook, reflecting deleveraging trajectory and reduced restructuring.

What Went Wrong

  • Promo softness weighed on Print: Print revenue fell to $291.3M (-4% YoY); management expects accelerated decline in Q2 due to constrained demand in shorter-cycle discretionary branded products.
  • Merchant growth tempered: Q1 revenue +1.3% to $97.8M, but FY growth outlook shifted “closer to lower single-digit” vs prior mid-single-digit, reflecting macro consumer sentiment and channel/vertical mix.
  • Near-term revenue caution: Company guided Q2 revenue “slightly negative” YoY; corporate medical benefit cost headwinds impacted margins but are expected to be mostly nonrecurring.

Financial Results

Consolidated Actuals

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$528.4 $520.5 $536.5
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.20 $0.28 $0.31
Comparable Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.84 $0.84 $0.75
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$104.5 $103.4 $100.2
Comparable Adjusted EBITDA Margin %19.8% 19.9% 18.7%

YoY highlights for Q1 2025 (vs Q1 2024): revenue +0.3%; comparable adjusted revenue +1.4%; GAAP EPS +29.2%; comparable adjusted EPS +4.2%; margin +40 bps.

Segment Breakdown (Q1 2025)

SegmentRevenue ($M)YoY ChangeAdjusted EBITDA ($M)Margin %
Merchant Services$97.8 +1.3% $21.4 21.9%
B2B Payments$70.2 +1.2% $13.3 18.9%
Data Solutions$77.2 +29.3% $19.7 25.5%
Print$291.3 -4.0% $90.8 31.2%
Total$536.5 +1.4% comparable adj $100.2 18.7%

KPIs

KPIQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Cash from Operations ($M)$26.6 N/A$50.3
Capital Expenditure ($M)$20.4 N/A$26.0
Free Cash Flow ($M)$6.2 N/A$24.3
Net Debt ($B)N/A$1.469 $1.462
Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA (x)N/A3.6x 3.6x
Weighted Avg Dilutive Shares (M)44.5 44.9 45.3

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2025$2.090–$2.155B $2.090–$2.155B Maintained
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025$415–$435M $415–$435M Maintained
Adjusted Diluted EPSFY 2025$3.25–$3.55 $3.25–$3.55 Maintained
Free Cash FlowFY 2025$120–$140M $120–$140M Maintained
Merchant Services RevenueFY 2025Mid-single-digit growth (prior outlook) “Closer to lower single-digit” growth Lowered
B2B Payments RevenueFY 2025Start low single-digit, ramp to mid-single-digit Flat to low single-digit in H1; ramp H2; full-year low–mid single-digit Maintained
Data Solutions RevenueFY 2025Mid–high single-digit High single-digit to low double-digit Raised
Print RevenueFY 2025Low–mid single-digit declines Low–mid declines; Q2 decline accelerated in promo Maintained / Near-term caution
Q2 RevenueQ2 2025N/ASlightly negative YoY New near-term color
CapexFY 2025$90–$100M $90–$100M; “not perfectly linear” Maintained
Interest ExpenseFY 2025~$120M ~$120M (implied) Maintained
Adjusted Tax RateFY 202526% 26% (implied) Maintained
DividendQ2 2025$0.30/share (ongoing) $0.30/share payable June 2; record May 19 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024)Previous Mentions (Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Operating leverage / North StarEBITDA growth > revenue; margin +140 bps; SG&A efficiency; North Star execution milestone Delivered operating leverage, EBITDA growth, free cash flow; SG&A reduced; 2025 ranges provided Ninth consecutive quarter of earnings expansion outpacing revenue; margin +40 bps YoY; cash flow up Improving
Data segment / AI & cloudSequential revenue improvement; margins strong; campaign timing noted Mid–high single-digit growth outlook; cloud-native platform buildout Record revenue; 17 logos; advanced AI tools; target high single-digit to low double-digit FY growth Strong momentum
Merchant servicesGrowth +6% Q3; margins ~19–20% FY25 mid–upper single-digit CAGR ambition; platform investment (APIs) Q1 +1.3%; FY growth “closer to lower single-digit”; new FI wins (TowneBank) Moderating
B2B payments / ISO 20022Returned to modest YoY growth; lockbox wins onboarding FY25 ramp to mid-single-digit; R360+ UI/UX Q1 +1.2%; ISO 20022 compatibility announcement (IBM partnership) Stabilizing; product upgrade
Print & promoLow single-digit decline; check -1.8%; margins >30% Low–mid declines; margins low-30s Q1 -4%; promo softness; Q2 decline to accelerate; margins 31.2% Cautious
Tariffs & macroMonitoring consumer discretionary trends; stabilized in Q3 Limited direct tariff exposure; domestic sourcing for checks “No material direct exposure”; promo small portion; potential demand effects unknown Watchful

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We reported a strong start to 2025… expanding comparable adjusted EBITDA margin and generating robust operating cash flow.”
  • CEO: “Our payments and data segments expanded… and execution remained strong… Data segment revenue grew 29%… added 17 new customer logos.”
  • CFO: “Adjusted EBITDA was $100.2M, increasing 3.4%… margins 18.7%, improving 40 bps… medical benefit cost headwinds are mostly nonrecurring.”
  • CFO: “Net debt level of $1.46B… S&P ratings upgrade… expect to end 2025 at ~3.3x leverage, targeting ≤3x by end of 2026.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Merchant fundamentals and strategy: diversified verticals (government, not-for-profit, auto repair), emphasis on service; new Merchant Services President focusing on FI partnerships (TowneBank) and distribution/channel expansion.
  • Near-term modeling: Q2 revenue “slightly negative” YoY; promo softness key driver; data growth to continue; merchant and B2B low single-digit sequential improvement.
  • Data “secret sauce”: scaled data lake (>100 sources), advanced AI-driven modeling, rapid campaign pivoting to demand (deposits, P&C insurance), strong FI demand.
  • Checks policy question: No direct exposure to federal check phase-out; checks remain ~40% of B2B payments due to remittance complexity; limited viable substitutes.
  • Capex and FCF: FY25 Capex $90–$100M with non-linear cadence; strong FCF a focus as restructuring winds down; deleveraging path reiterated.

Estimates Context

Q1 2025 results beat consensus on both revenue and EPS; Q3 2024 beat; Q4 2024 revenue missed while EPS was in-line/slight beat.

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue Consensus ($M)$525.83*$534.03*$525.42*
Revenue Actual ($M)$528.44 $520.55 $536.47
EPS Consensus ($)$0.74*$0.8325*$0.71*
EPS Actual ($)$0.84 (comp adj) $0.84 (comp adj) $0.75 (comp adj)

Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.

  • Q1 2025: Revenue and EPS both beat; bold implication: positive estimate revisions likely in Data segment; Merchant estimates may edge down given FY growth tempering. *
  • Q4 2024: Revenue miss vs consensus; EPS met/slightly exceeded on adjusted basis. *

Earnings Call Themes & Trends (Selected Press Releases, Q1 Window)

  • FI partnerships: TowneBank partnership enhances merchant solutions distribution through bank channel.
  • B2B product upgrade: ReceivablesR360+ achieved ISO 20022 compatibility via IBM partnership, improving data integration and onboarding speed.
  • Vertical expansion: Bonko partnership (insurance agents) and SchoolAuction.net integration (nonprofits/education) broaden merchant addressable market.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Free cash flow inflection and deleveraging are intact; FY25 FCF $120–$140M guide maintained, net leverage targeted ~3.3x by YE25 and ≤3x by YE26—supportive of multiple expansion and balance sheet resiliency.
  • Data Solutions momentum is the growth engine; record revenue, AI-enabled targeting, and FI demand should underpin upward estimate pressure and offset Print headwinds.
  • Merchant growth recalibration to low single-digit reduces top-line risk; watch FI onboarding cadence and partner-driven channel mix for margin stability.
  • Near-term caution for Q2 (“slightly negative” YoY) driven by promo softness; sequential improvement expected in H2—trade the setup around confirmation of H2 ramp.
  • Maintain focus on non-GAAP adjustments: adjusted EPS excludes amortization, restructuring, and exits; comparable adjusted metrics remove business exits—key for apples-to-apples trend analysis.
  • Dividend continuity ($0.30/share) and ratings upgrade (single B, positive outlook) reinforce capital allocation discipline; positive credit signaling is a tailwind to cost of capital.
  • Medium-term thesis: ongoing mix shift to Payments/Data, margin expansion under North Star, and product upgrades (ISO 20022, merchant platform) support the 2–4% long-term revenue algorithm with profit growing faster than revenue.
Note: All consensus values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.